Girabola
Académica Petróleos do Lobito vs Bravos do Maquis Prediction: a narrow Bravos do Maquis win
Our model makes Académica Petróleos do Lobito vs Bravos do Maquis a narrow Bravos do Maquis win, with a most likely score of 0-1 and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 309 wins and 147 losses from 456 settled picks, a 67.8% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- FC Bravos do Maquis (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Correct score 0-1Correct score tips today21.2%4.72
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 23Tips44 Power58
- 13Tips44 Form56
- 10Tips44 Attack44
- 45Tips44 Defence73
- 0Tips44 Goals33
Out of 100, from each team's last 8 to 9 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 30 percent Académica Petróleos do Lobito, 33 percent the draw and 37 percent FC Bravos do Maquis. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 0.5 goals from Académica Petróleos do Lobito and 1.2 from FC Bravos do Maquis, a combined 1.7, which is a low total and argues against the goals markets. One market clears our bar on this fixture: FC Bravos do Maquis (draw no bet) at 78 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-1, though at 21.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Académica Petróleos do Lobito vs Bravos do Maquis: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Académica Petróleos do Lobito vs Bravos do Maquis?
Bravos do Maquis. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 30% for Académica Petróleos do Lobito and 33% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
0-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 34%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 27%, with expected goals of 0.5 for Académica Petróleos do Lobito and 1.2 for Bravos do Maquis.
When is Académica Petróleos do Lobito vs Bravos do Maquis?
Saturday 31 October, 17:30 EAT (14:30 UTC). It is a Girabola match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.