National League
Fylde vs Hartlepool United Prediction: a narrow Fylde win
Our model makes Fylde vs Hartlepool United a narrow Fylde win and low confidence at 55%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 62% — combined xG 3.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- AFC Fylde or drawDouble chance tips today78%1.28
- AFC Fylde (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today66%1.52
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today62%1.61
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.6%9.43
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 55Tips44 Power33
- 53Tips44 Form30
- 72Tips44 Attack40
- 40Tips44 Defence28
- 70Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Fylde to score80% recent
Fylde scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has AFC Fylde at 55 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from AFC Fylde and 1.3 from Hartlepool United, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, AFC Fylde or draw at 78 percent and AFC Fylde (draw no bet) at 66 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Fylde vs Hartlepool United: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Fylde vs Hartlepool United?
Fylde. Our model gives them a 55% chance of winning, against 22% for Hartlepool United and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Fylde and 1.3 for Hartlepool United.
When is Fylde vs Hartlepool United?
Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.