Saudi Pro League
Al-Hazem vs Al-Nassr Prediction: an Al-Nassr win
Our model makes Al-Hazem vs Al-Nassr an Al-Nassr win, with a most likely score of 0-2 and high confidence at 79%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Al-Nassr favoured at 79%, with model xG of 0.9 vs 2.4.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Al-Nassr or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Al-Nassr (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Al-Nassr to winMatch result tips today79%1.27
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today69%1.45
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 0-2Correct score tips today10.8%9.26
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 33Tips44 Power80
- 23Tips44 Form83
- 48Tips44 Attack100
- 28Tips44 Defence56
- 50Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Sadio Mané (Al-Nassr)
- Cristiano Ronaldo (Al-Nassr)
What the last 10 matches say
- Al-Nassr to score100% recent
Al-Nassr scored in 10 of their last 10 (25 goals).
- Al-Hazem to score80% recent
Al-Hazem scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 53%
Both teams scored in 7 of Al-Hazem's last 10 and 7 of Al-Nassr's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Al-Nassr at 79 percent, with the draw at 13 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 0.9 goals from Al-Hazem and 2.4 from Al-Nassr, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Al-Nassr or draw at 85 percent, Al-Nassr (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-2, though at 10.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Al-Hazem0.88
Al-Nassr2.44Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Al-Hazem vs Al-Nassr: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Al-Hazem vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr. Our model gives them a 79% chance of winning, against 8% for Al-Hazem and 13% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
0-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 53%. Both teams scored in 7 of Al-Hazem's last 10 and 7 of Al-Nassr's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 69%, with expected goals of 0.9 for Al-Hazem and 2.4 for Al-Nassr.
When is Al-Hazem vs Al-Nassr?
Friday 6 November, 17:55 EAT (14:55 UTC). It is a Saudi Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.