Saudi Pro League
Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood Prediction: an Al-Nassr win
Our model makes Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood an Al-Nassr win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and high confidence at 78%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Al-Nassr favoured at 78% — model xG 2.6 vs 0.8.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Al-Nassr or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Al-Nassr (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Al-Nassr to winMatch result tips today78%1.28
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today69%1.45
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today11.3%8.85
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 81Tips44 Power37
- 83Tips44 Form40
- 92Tips44 Attack56
- 68Tips44 Defence16
- 80Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Sadio Mané (Al-Nassr)
- Cristiano Ronaldo (Al-Nassr)
What the last 10 matches say
- Al-Nassr to score100% recent
Al-Nassr scored in 10 of their last 10 (23 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals75% recent · model 69%
8 of Al-Nassr's last 10 and 7 of Al-Kholood's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.1 and 3.5 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Al-Nassr at 78 percent, with the draw at 14 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.6 goals from Al-Nassr and 0.8 from Al-Kholood, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Al-Nassr or draw at 85 percent, Al-Nassr (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 11.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood?
Al-Nassr. Our model gives them a 78% chance of winning, against 9% for Al-Kholood and 14% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 50%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 69%, with expected goals of 2.6 for Al-Nassr and 0.8 for Al-Kholood.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al-Kholood?
Thursday 29 October, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Saudi Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.