Saudi Pro League
Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha Prediction: an Al-Qadsiah win
Our model makes Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha an Al-Qadsiah win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and high confidence at 83%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Al-Qadsiah favoured at 83%, with model xG of 2.5 vs 0.8.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Al-Qadsiah or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Al-Qadsiah (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Al-Qadsiah to winMatch result tips today83%1.20
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today11.7%8.55
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 81Tips44 Power46
- 83Tips44 Form37
- 100Tips44 Attack60
- 60Tips44 Defence40
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Al-Qadsiah to score100% recent
Al-Qadsiah scored in 10 of their last 10 (29 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 88%
9 of Al-Qadsiah's last 10 and 8 of Al-Fayha's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Al-Qadsiah at 83 percent, with the draw at 11 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.5 goals from Al-Qadsiah and 0.8 from Al-Fayha, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Al-Qadsiah or draw at 85 percent, Al-Qadsiah (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Al-Qadsiah2.49
Al-Fayha0.79Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha?
Al-Qadsiah. Our model gives them an 83% chance of winning, against 7% for Al-Fayha and 11% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 74%, with expected goals of 2.5 for Al-Qadsiah and 0.8 for Al-Fayha.
When is Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha?
Thursday 5 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Saudi Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.