Saudi Pro League
Al-Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Prediction: an Al-Qadsiah win
Our model makes Al-Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah an Al-Qadsiah win, with a most likely score of 0-2 and moderate confidence at 72%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Al-Qadsiah favoured at 72% — model xG 0.9 vs 2.2.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Al-Qadsiah or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Al-Qadsiah (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Al-Qadsiah to winMatch result tips today72%1.39
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today67%1.49
- Correct score 0-2Correct score tips today10.7%9.35
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 36Tips44 Power74
- 40Tips44 Form73
- 44Tips44 Attack92
- 24Tips44 Defence56
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Al-Qadsiah to score90% recent
Al-Qadsiah scored in 9 of their last 10 (23 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Al-Qadsiah at 72 percent, with the draw at 17 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 0.9 goals from Al-Riyadh and 2.2 from Al-Qadsiah, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Al-Qadsiah or draw at 85 percent, Al-Qadsiah (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-2, though at 10.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Al-Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Al-Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Al-Qadsiah. Our model gives them a 72% chance of winning, against 11% for Al-Riyadh and 17% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
0-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 67%, with expected goals of 0.9 for Al-Riyadh and 2.2 for Al-Qadsiah.
When is Al-Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?
Thursday 29 October, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Saudi Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.