National League
Aldershot Town vs Gateshead Prediction: an Aldershot Town win
Our model makes Aldershot Town vs Gateshead an Aldershot Town win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and moderate confidence at 63%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Aldershot Town favoured at 63% — model xG 2.1 vs 1.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Aldershot Town or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- Aldershot Town (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Aldershot Town to winMatch result tips today63%1.59
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.8%10.20
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 46Tips44 Power9
- 37Tips44 Form7
- 60Tips44 Attack20
- 40Tips44 Defence0
- 60Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Aldershot Town to score80% recent
Aldershot Town scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Aldershot Town at 63 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Aldershot Town and 1.1 from Gateshead, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Aldershot Town or draw at 83 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent and Aldershot Town (draw no bet) at 78 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Aldershot Town vs Gateshead: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Aldershot Town vs Gateshead?
Aldershot Town. Our model gives them a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Gateshead and 20% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Aldershot Town and 1.1 for Gateshead.
When is Aldershot Town vs Gateshead?
Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.