Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Aldosivi vs River Plate Prediction: a narrow River Plate win
Our model makes Aldosivi vs River Plate a narrow River Plate win, with a most likely score of 0-1 and low confidence at 55%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- River Plate or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- River Plate (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today75%1.33
- Correct score 0-1Correct score tips today14.2%7.04
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 37Tips44 Power65
- 30Tips44 Form67
- 52Tips44 Attack64
- 28Tips44 Defence64
- 70Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Aldosivi to score90% recent
Aldosivi scored in 9 of their last 10 (13 goals).
- River Plate to score90% recent
River Plate scored in 9 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has River Plate at 55 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 0.8 goals from Aldosivi and 1.5 from River Plate, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: River Plate or draw at 82 percent and River Plate (draw no bet) at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-1, though at 14.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Aldosivi0.85
River Plate1.53Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Aldosivi vs River Plate: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Aldosivi vs River Plate?
River Plate. Our model gives them a 55% chance of winning, against 18% for Aldosivi and 27% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
0-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 43%, with expected goals of 0.8 for Aldosivi and 1.5 for River Plate.
When is Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Thursday 5 November, 21:00 EAT (18:00 UTC). It is a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.