Copa Colombia
América de Cali vs Internacional de Bogotá Prediction: a narrow América de Cali win
Our model makes América de Cali vs Internacional de Bogotá a narrow América de Cali win and moderate confidence at 62%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
América de Cali favoured at 62%, with model xG of 2.0 vs 1.0.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 301 wins and 119 losses from 420 settled picks, a 71.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- América de Cali or drawDouble chance tips today84%1.19
- América de Cali (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today79%1.27
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today70%1.43
- América de Cali to winMatch result tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.0%10.00
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 69Tips44 Power48
- 70Tips44 Form40
- 64Tips44 Attack56
- 72Tips44 Defence48
- 60Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- América de Cali to score80% recent
América de Cali scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has América de Cali at 62 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from América de Cali and 1.0 from Internacional de Bogotá, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by América de Cali or draw at 84 percent, América de Cali (draw no bet) at 79 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
América de Cali1.99
Internacional de Bogotá1.00Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
América de Cali vs Internacional de Bogotá: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in América de Cali vs Internacional de Bogotá?
América de Cali. Our model gives them a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Internacional de Bogotá and 22% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 2.0 for América de Cali and 1.0 for Internacional de Bogotá.
When is América de Cali vs Internacional de Bogotá?
Wednesday 18 November, 04:30 EAT (01:30 UTC). It is a Copa Colombia match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.