Parva Liga
Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia Prediction: a narrow Levski Sofia win
Our model makes Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia a narrow Levski Sofia win, with a most likely score of 0-1 and low confidence at 55%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Levski Sofia or drawDouble chance tips today81%1.23
- Levski Sofia (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today70%1.43
- Correct score 0-1Correct score tips today14.3%6.99
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 41Tips44 Power66
- 43Tips44 Form67
- 52Tips44 Attack68
- 28Tips44 Defence64
- 50Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Arda Kardzhali to score80% recent
Arda Kardzhali scored in 8 of their last 10 (13 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Levski Sofia at 55 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 0.9 goals from Arda Kardzhali and 1.4 from Levski Sofia, a combined 2.3, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Levski Sofia or draw at 81 percent and Levski Sofia (draw no bet) at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-1, though at 14.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia. Our model gives them a 55% chance of winning, against 19% for Arda Kardzhali and 27% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
0-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 43%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 43%, with expected goals of 0.9 for Arda Kardzhali and 1.4 for Levski Sofia.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?
Tuesday 27 October, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Parva Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.