Premier League
Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction: an Arsenal win
Our model makes Arsenal vs Hull City an Arsenal win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 70%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Arsenal favoured at 70%, with model xG of 2.0 vs 0.8.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Arsenal or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Arsenal (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Arsenal to winMatch result tips today70%1.43
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today12.8%7.81
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 71Tips44 Power41
- 77Tips44 Form30
- 72Tips44 Attack40
- 64Tips44 Defence52
- 50Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)
- Declan Rice (Arsenal)
- Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)
What the last 10 matches say
- Arsenal to score90% recent
Arsenal scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Arsenal at 70 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from Arsenal and 0.8 from Hull City, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Arsenal or draw at 85 percent, Arsenal (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Arsenal to win at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 12.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Arsenal2.03
Hull City0.75Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Arsenal vs Hull City: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Arsenal vs Hull City?
Arsenal. Our model gives them a 70% chance of winning, against 10% for Hull City and 20% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 2.0 for Arsenal and 0.8 for Hull City.
When is Arsenal vs Hull City?
Saturday 7 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Premier League match.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Hull City?
Our guide "How to watch the Premier League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.