Serie B
Ascoli vs Palermo Prediction: a narrow Palermo win
Our model makes Ascoli vs Palermo a narrow Palermo win and low confidence at 39%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 62% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.6 / 1.2).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Ascoli or PalermoDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Ascoli (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today65%1.54
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today65%1.54
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.7%8.55
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 68Tips44 Power77
- 63Tips44 Form87
- 64Tips44 Attack100
- 76Tips44 Defence44
- 30Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Palermo to score100% recent
Palermo scored in 10 of their last 10 (28 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 62%
Both teams scored in 5 of Ascoli's last 10 and 9 of Palermo's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 35 percent Ascoli, 27 percent the draw and 39 percent Palermo. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Ascoli and 1.2 from Palermo, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Ascoli or Palermo at 73 percent, Ascoli (draw no bet) at 65 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Ascoli1.61
Palermo1.17Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Ascoli vs Palermo: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Ascoli vs Palermo?
Palermo. Our model gives them a 39% chance of winning, against 35% for Ascoli and 27% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 62%. Both teams scored in 5 of Ascoli's last 10 and 9 of Palermo's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Ascoli and 1.2 for Palermo.
When is Ascoli vs Palermo?
Friday 6 November, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a Serie B match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.