La Liga
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction: a narrow Athletic Club win
Our model makes Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad a narrow Athletic Club win and low confidence at 45%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Athletic Club or Real SociedadDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Athletic Club (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today65%1.54
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.4%8.77
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 68Tips44 Power65
- 60Tips44 Form63
- 72Tips44 Attack96
- 72Tips44 Defence36
- 40Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Real Sociedad to score80% recent
Real Sociedad scored in 8 of their last 10 (24 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Athletic Club at 45 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Athletic Club and 1.2 from Real Sociedad, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Athletic Club or Real Sociedad at 74 percent, Athletic Club (draw no bet) at 65 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Athletic Club1.66
Real Sociedad1.21Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?
Athletic Club. Our model gives them a 45% chance of winning, against 30% for Real Sociedad and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Athletic Club and 1.2 for Real Sociedad.
When is Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?
Sunday 1 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a La Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.