MLS
Atlanta United vs Toronto Prediction: a narrow Atlanta United win
Our model makes Atlanta United vs Toronto a narrow Atlanta United win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 65% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.8 / 1.3).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Atlanta United or Toronto FCDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today66%1.52
- Atlanta United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today65%1.54
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today65%1.54
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.8%9.26
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 39Tips44 Power44
- 30Tips44 Form47
- 60Tips44 Attack72
- 28Tips44 Defence12
- 80Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Atlanta United to score90% recent
Atlanta United scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals80% recent · model 58%
8 of Atlanta United's last 10 and 8 of Toronto's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.3 and 4 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today - Toronto to score80% recent
Toronto scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).
- Both teams to score70% recent · model 65%
Both teams scored in 7 of Atlanta United's last 10 and 7 of Toronto's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 41 percent Atlanta United, 24 percent the draw and 35 percent Toronto FC. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Atlanta United and 1.3 from Toronto FC, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Atlanta United or Toronto FC at 76 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 66 percent and Atlanta United (draw no bet) at 65 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Atlanta United1.76
Toronto FC1.28Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Atlanta United vs Toronto: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Atlanta United vs Toronto?
Atlanta United. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 35% for Toronto and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 65%. Both teams scored in 7 of Atlanta United's last 10 and 7 of Toronto's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Atlanta United and 1.3 for Toronto.
When is Atlanta United vs Toronto?
Monday 2 November, 00:30 EAT (21:30 UTC). It is a MLS match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.