Liga MX Apertura
Atlético San Luis vs Atlas Prediction: a narrow Atlético San Luis win
Our model makes Atlético San Luis vs Atlas a narrow Atlético San Luis win and low confidence at 36%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Atlético San Luis or Atlas FCDouble chance tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today66%1.52
- Atlético San Luis (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.6%9.43
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 54Tips44 Power47
- 57Tips44 Form50
- 60Tips44 Attack76
- 44Tips44 Defence16
- 60Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Atlas to score100% recent
Atlas scored in 10 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 78%
9 of Atlético San Luis's last 10 and 10 of Atlas's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Atlético San Luis to score80% recent
Atlético San Luis scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 59%
Both teams scored in 7 of Atlético San Luis's last 10 and 8 of Atlas's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 36 percent Atlético San Luis, 27 percent the draw and 36 percent Atlas FC. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Atlético San Luis and 1.3 from Atlas FC, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Atlético San Luis or Atlas FC at 73 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 66 percent and Atlético San Luis (draw no bet) at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Atlético San Luis vs Atlas: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Atlético San Luis vs Atlas?
Our model rates it even: 36% each, with the draw at 27%.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 59%. Both teams scored in 7 of Atlético San Luis's last 10 and 8 of Atlas's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Atlético San Luis and 1.3 for Atlas.
When is Atlético San Luis vs Atlas?
Saturday 31 October, 04:00 EAT (01:00 UTC). It is a Liga MX Apertura match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.