Nigeria Premier Football League
Barau vs Shooting Stars Prediction: a narrow Barau win
Our model makes Barau vs Shooting Stars a narrow Barau win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 56%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Barau FC favoured at 56%, with model xG of 1.4 vs 0.7.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Barau FC or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Barau FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today79%1.27
- Barau FC to winMatch result tips today56%1.79
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today17.3%5.78
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 49Tips44 Power47
- 43Tips44 Form40
- 40Tips44 Attack56
- 64Tips44 Defence44
- 30Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Barau FC at 56 percent, with the draw at 29 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Barau FC and 0.7 from Shooting Stars, a combined 2.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Barau FC or draw at 85 percent, Barau FC (draw no bet) at 79 percent and Barau FC to win at 56 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 17.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Barau FC1.44
Shooting Stars0.68Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Barau vs Shooting Stars: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Barau vs Shooting Stars?
Barau. Our model gives them a 56% chance of winning, against 15% for Shooting Stars and 29% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 41%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 37%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Barau and 0.7 for Shooting Stars.
When is Barau vs Shooting Stars?
Sunday 8 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.