Livescore44

Allsvenskan

BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg Prediction: a narrow BK Häcken win

Our model makes BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg a narrow BK Häcken win and low confidence at 53%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow BK Häcken win
Confidencelow (53%)
Market we would callOver 1.5 goals

Model backs Over 1.5 at 80% — combined xG 3.1.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
BK HäckenIFK Göteborg
  • 80Tips44 Power57
  • 77Tips44 Form60
  • 80Tips44 Attack60
  • 84Tips44 Defence52
  • 50Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • BK Häcken to score90% recent

    BK Häcken scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).

  • IFK Göteborg to score90% recent

    IFK Göteborg scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has BK Häcken at 53 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from BK Häcken and 1.2 from IFK Göteborg, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent, BK Häcken or IFK Göteborg at 77 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

BK Häcken win53%
Draw23%
IFK Göteborg win24%

Expected goals

BK HäckenBK Häcken1.86
IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg1.24

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg?

BK Häcken. Our model gives them a 53% chance of winning, against 24% for IFK Göteborg and 23% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.9 for BK Häcken and 1.2 for IFK Göteborg.

When is BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg?

Sunday 1 November, 18:30 EAT (15:30 UTC). It is a Allsvenskan match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.