Livescore44

Champions League

Bodø/Glimt vs Lille Prediction: a Bodø/Glimt win

Our model makes Bodø/Glimt vs Lille a Bodø/Glimt win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 51%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomeBodø/Glimt win
Predicted score2-1
Confidencelow (51%)
Market we would callBoth teams to score

Both teams to score priced 64% — both attacks priced to score (xG 2.3 / 1.1).

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Bodø/GlimtLille
  • 53Tips44 Power46
  • 60Tips44 Form47
  • 72Tips44 Attack52
  • 28Tips44 Defence40
  • 70Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Lille to score90% recent

    Lille scored in 9 of their last 10 (13 goals).

  • Bodø/Glimt to score80% recent

    Bodø/Glimt scored in 8 of their last 10 (18 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Bodø/Glimt at 51 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.3 goals from Bodø/Glimt and 1.1 from Lille, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, Bodø/Glimt (draw no bet) at 82 percent and Bodø/Glimt or Lille at 76 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Bodø/Glimt win51%
Draw24%
Lille win25%

Expected goals

Bodø/Glimt crestBodø/Glimt2.27
Lille crestLille1.06

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Bodø/Glimt vs Lille: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Bodø/Glimt vs Lille?

Bodø/Glimt. Our model gives them a 51% chance of winning, against 25% for Lille and 24% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 64%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 2.3 for Bodø/Glimt and 1.1 for Lille.

When is Bodø/Glimt vs Lille?

Tuesday 3 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Champions League match.

Where can I watch Bodø/Glimt vs Lille?

Our guide "How to watch the Champions League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreChampions League hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.