Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs 07 Elversberg Prediction: a narrow Borussia Dortmund win
Our model makes Borussia Dortmund vs 07 Elversberg a narrow Borussia Dortmund win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 63% — combined xG 3.3.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- Borussia Dortmund or drawDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today74%1.35
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today69%1.45
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today63%1.59
- Borussia Dortmund to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.7%10.31
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 66Tips44 Power51
- 70Tips44 Form53
- 68Tips44 Attack76
- 60Tips44 Defence24
- 60Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund)
What the last 10 matches say
- Borussia Dortmund to score80% recent
Borussia Dortmund scored in 8 of their last 10 (17 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Borussia Dortmund at 58 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 1.3 from SV 07 Elversberg, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, Borussia Dortmund or draw at 79 percent and Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet) at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Borussia Dortmund2.09
SV 07 Elversberg1.26Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Borussia Dortmund vs 07 Elversberg: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Borussia Dortmund vs 07 Elversberg?
Borussia Dortmund. Our model gives them a 58% chance of winning, against 21% for 07 Elversberg and 21% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 60%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.3 for 07 Elversberg.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs 07 Elversberg?
Saturday 7 November, 17:30 EAT (14:30 UTC). It is a Bundesliga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.