National League
Boston United vs Gateshead Prediction: a narrow Boston United win
Our model makes Boston United vs Gateshead a narrow Boston United win and low confidence at 60%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Boston United favoured at 60% — model xG 2.0 vs 1.2.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Boston United or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today81%1.23
- Boston United (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Boston United to winMatch result tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today9.6%10.42
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 24Tips44 Power9
- 20Tips44 Form7
- 48Tips44 Attack20
- 4Tips44 Defence0
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 81%
9 of Boston United's last 10 and 8 of Gateshead's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Boston United to score80% recent
Boston United scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Boston United at 60 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from Boston United and 1.2 from Gateshead, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Boston United or draw at 83 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 81 percent and Boston United (draw no bet) at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Boston United vs Gateshead: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Boston United vs Gateshead?
Boston United. Our model gives them a 60% chance of winning, against 18% for Gateshead and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 57%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 2.0 for Boston United and 1.2 for Gateshead.
When is Boston United vs Gateshead?
Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.