Segunda División
Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Celta Fortuna Prediction: a narrow Burgos Club de Fútbol win
Our model makes Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Celta Fortuna a narrow Burgos Club de Fútbol win and low confidence at 55%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Burgos Club de Fútbol or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- Burgos Club de Fútbol (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today78%1.28
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.2%9.80
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 64Tips44 Power34
- 67Tips44 Form30
- 64Tips44 Attack56
- 60Tips44 Defence16
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Burgos Club de Fútbol to score80% recent
Burgos Club de Fútbol scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).
- Celta Fortuna to score80% recent
Celta Fortuna scored in 8 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Burgos Club de Fútbol at 55 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Burgos Club de Fútbol and 1.0 from Celta Fortuna, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Burgos Club de Fútbol or draw at 80 percent and Burgos Club de Fútbol (draw no bet) at 78 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Burgos Club de Fútbol1.95
Celta Fortuna1.01Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Celta Fortuna: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Celta Fortuna?
Burgos Club de Fútbol. Our model gives them a 55% chance of winning, against 20% for Celta Fortuna and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 52%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Burgos Club de Fútbol and 1.0 for Celta Fortuna.
When is Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Celta Fortuna?
Saturday 7 November, 16:00 EAT (13:00 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.