Liga Profesional de Fútbol
CA Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Prediction: a narrow CA Lanús win
Our model makes CA Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza a narrow CA Lanús win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 60%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
CA Lanús favoured at 60%, with model xG of 1.5 vs 0.8.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- CA Lanús or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- CA Lanús (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today76%1.32
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- CA Lanús to winMatch result tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today15.2%6.58
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 60Tips44 Power49
- 60Tips44 Form47
- 48Tips44 Attack52
- 72Tips44 Defence48
- 30Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- CA Lanús to score80% recent
CA Lanús scored in 8 of their last 10 (12 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has CA Lanús at 60 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from CA Lanús and 0.8 from Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza, a combined 2.3, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by CA Lanús or draw at 85 percent, CA Lanús (draw no bet) at 76 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 64 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 15.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
CA Lanús1.50
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0.79Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
CA Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in CA Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
CA Lanús. Our model gives them a 60% chance of winning, against 15% for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and 25% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 45%, with expected goals of 1.5 for CA Lanús and 0.8 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.
When is CA Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Monday 2 November, 02:45 EAT (23:45 UTC). It is a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.