Livescore44

Copa del Rey

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano vs Albacete Balompié Prediction: a narrow Albacete Balompié win

Our model makes Calvo Sotelo Puertollano vs Albacete Balompié a narrow Albacete Balompié win and low confidence at 61%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Albacete Balompié win
Confidencelow (61%)
Market we would callAlbacete Balompié to win

Albacete Balompié favoured at 61%.

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Calvo Sotelo PuertollanoAlbacete Balompié
  • 52Tips44 Power26
  • 47Tips44 Form23
  • 40Tips44 Attack32
  • 68Tips44 Defence24
  • 20Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 5 to 10 matches in all competitions.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Albacete Balompié at 61 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Albacete Balompié or draw at 82 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent and Albacete Balompié (draw no bet) at 77 percent. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano win18%
Draw22%
Albacete Balompié win61%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano vs Albacete Balompié: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Calvo Sotelo Puertollano vs Albacete Balompié?

Albacete Balompié. Our model gives them a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano and 22% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 56%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 0.0 for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano and 0.0 for Albacete Balompié.

When is Calvo Sotelo Puertollano vs Albacete Balompié?

Wednesday 4 November, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Copa del Rey match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.