Liga Portugal Betclic
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Prediction: a Sporting CP win
Our model makes Casa Pia vs Sporting CP a Sporting CP win, with a most likely score of 0-2 and high confidence at 77%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Sporting CP favoured at 77% — model xG 0.8 vs 1.9.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Sporting CP or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Sporting CP (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- Sporting CP to winMatch result tips today77%1.30
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 0-2Correct score tips today12.2%8.20
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 30Tips44 Power72
- 33Tips44 Form67
- 24Tips44 Attack92
- 32Tips44 Defence56
- 30Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Sporting CP to score100% recent
Sporting CP scored in 10 of their last 10 (23 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Sporting CP at 77 percent, with the draw at 15 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 0.8 goals from Casa Pia and 1.9 from Sporting CP, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Sporting CP or draw at 85 percent, Sporting CP (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Sporting CP to win at 77 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 0-2, though at 12.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP. Our model gives them a 77% chance of winning, against 8% for Casa Pia and 15% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
0-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 48%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 51%, with expected goals of 0.8 for Casa Pia and 1.9 for Sporting CP.
When is Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
Friday 30 October, 23:15 EAT (20:15 UTC). It is a Liga Portugal Betclic match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.