Copa del Rey
Badajoz vs Tenerife Prediction: a narrow Tenerife win
Our model makes Badajoz vs Tenerife a narrow Tenerife win and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
CD Tenerife favoured at 58%.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 275 wins and 118 losses from 393 settled picks, a 70% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- CD Tenerife or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- CD Tenerife (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today76%1.32
- CD Tenerife to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 66Tips44 Power40
- 58Tips44 Form37
- 80Tips44 Attack40
- 60Tips44 Defence44
- 50Tips44 Goals20
Out of 100, from each team's last 4 to 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals86% recent · model 75%
4 of Badajoz's last 4 and 8 of Tenerife's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Tenerife to score80% recent
Tenerife scored in 8 of their last 10 (10 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has CD Tenerife at 58 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: CD Tenerife or draw at 82 percent, CD Tenerife (draw no bet) at 76 percent and CD Tenerife to win at 58 percent. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Badajoz vs Tenerife: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Badajoz vs Tenerife?
Tenerife. Our model gives them a 58% chance of winning, against 18% for Badajoz and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 52%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 0.0 for Badajoz and 0.0 for Tenerife.
When is Badajoz vs Tenerife?
Wednesday 4 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Copa del Rey match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.