Segunda División
Castellón vs Eibar Prediction: a narrow Castellón win
Our model makes Castellón vs Eibar a narrow Castellón win and low confidence at 57%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
CD Castellón favoured at 57%, with model xG of 1.8 vs 1.1.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 317 wins and 134 losses from 451 settled picks, a 70.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- CD Castellón or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- CD Castellón (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- CD Castellón to winMatch result tips today57%1.75
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today11.0%9.09
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 84Tips44 Power66
- 77Tips44 Form67
- 92Tips44 Attack76
- 84Tips44 Defence56
- 50Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals90% recent · model 80%
9 of Castellón's last 10 and 9 of Eibar's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Castellón to score90% recent
Castellón scored in 9 of their last 10 (23 goals).
- Eibar to score90% recent
Eibar scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has CD Castellón at 57 percent, with the draw at 23 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from CD Castellón and 1.1 from Eibar, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by CD Castellón or draw at 80 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent and CD Castellón (draw no bet) at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
CD Castellón1.78
Eibar1.07Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Castellón vs Eibar: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Castellón vs Eibar?
Castellón. Our model gives them a 57% chance of winning, against 20% for Eibar and 23% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Castellón and 1.1 for Eibar.
When is Castellón vs Eibar?
Friday 6 November, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.