Europa League
Celtic vs Beşiktaş JK Prediction: a narrow Beşiktaş JK win
Our model makes Celtic vs Beşiktaş JK a narrow Beşiktaş JK win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.8 / 1.3).
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Celtic or Beşiktaş JKDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Celtic (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today68%1.47
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power72
- 53Tips44 Form73
- 76Tips44 Attack100
- 40Tips44 Defence44
- 70Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Celtic to score90% recent
Celtic scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Beşiktaş JK to score90% recent
Beşiktaş JK scored in 9 of their last 10 (26 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals75% recent · model 59%
7 of Celtic's last 10 and 8 of Beşiktaş JK's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.4 and 4 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 61%
Both teams scored in 7 of Celtic's last 10 and 7 of Beşiktaş JK's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Beşiktaş JK at 41 percent, with the draw at 26 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Celtic and 1.3 from Beşiktaş JK, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Celtic or Beşiktaş JK at 74 percent, Celtic (draw no bet) at 68 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Celtic1.84
Beşiktaş JK1.25Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş JK: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Beşiktaş JK?
Beşiktaş JK. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 33% for Celtic and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%. Both teams scored in 7 of Celtic's last 10 and 7 of Beşiktaş JK's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 59%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Celtic and 1.3 for Beşiktaş JK.
When is Celtic vs Beşiktaş JK?
Thursday 5 November, 23:00 EAT (20:00 UTC). It is a Europa League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.