Livescore44

Scottish Premiership

Celtic vs Dundee United Prediction: a Celtic win

Our model makes Celtic vs Dundee United a Celtic win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 74%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomeCeltic win
Predicted score2-0
Confidencemoderate (74%)
Market we would callCeltic to win

Celtic favoured at 74% — model xG 2.4 vs 0.9.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
CelticDundee United
  • 63Tips44 Power50
  • 60Tips44 Form50
  • 80Tips44 Attack56
  • 48Tips44 Defence44
  • 70Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Celtic to score90% recent

    Celtic scored in 9 of their last 10 (20 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 87%

    8 of Celtic's last 10 and 9 of Dundee United's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Celtic at 74 percent, with the draw at 16 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.4 goals from Celtic and 0.9 from Dundee United, a combined 3.3, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Celtic or draw at 85 percent, Celtic (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 10.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Celtic win74%
Draw16%
Dundee United win10%

Expected goals

CelticCeltic2.39
Dundee UnitedDundee United0.94

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Celtic vs Dundee United: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Celtic vs Dundee United?

Celtic. Our model gives them a 74% chance of winning, against 10% for Dundee United and 16% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 58%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 71%, with expected goals of 2.4 for Celtic and 0.9 for Dundee United.

When is Celtic vs Dundee United?

Wednesday 28 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.