MLS
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC Prediction: a narrow Chicago Fire win
Our model makes Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC a narrow Chicago Fire win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 53%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 69% — combined xG 3.7.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 265 wins and 135 losses from 400 settled picks, a 66.3% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Chicago Fire or Orlando City SCDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today69%1.45
- Chicago Fire (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today67%1.49
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today65%1.54
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.0%11.11
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Chicago Fire at 53 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Chicago Fire and 1.5 from Orlando City SC, a combined 3.7, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, Chicago Fire or Orlando City SC at 79 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.