Segunda División
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta Prediction: a Córdoba win
Our model makes Córdoba vs AD Ceuta a Córdoba win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 61%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 66% — combined xG 3.2.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 316 wins and 130 losses from 446 settled picks, a 70.9% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today84%1.19
- Córdoba or drawDouble chance tips today82%1.22
- Córdoba (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today80%1.25
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today66%1.52
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Córdoba to winMatch result tips today61%1.64
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.9%10.10
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power33
- 43Tips44 Form27
- 60Tips44 Attack44
- 28Tips44 Defence28
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals95% recent · model 84%
9 of Córdoba's last 10 and 10 of AD Ceuta's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Córdoba to score90% recent
Córdoba scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).
- AD Ceuta to score80% recent
AD Ceuta scored in 8 of their last 10 (11 goals).
- Both teams to score75% recent · model 61%
Both teams scored in 7 of Córdoba's last 10 and 8 of AD Ceuta's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Córdoba at 61 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Córdoba and 1.1 from AD Ceuta, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 84 percent, Córdoba or draw at 82 percent and Córdoba (draw no bet) at 80 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Córdoba2.14
AD Ceuta1.09Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Córdoba vs AD Ceuta: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Córdoba vs AD Ceuta?
Córdoba. Our model gives them a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for AD Ceuta and 21% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%. Both teams scored in 7 of Córdoba's last 10 and 8 of AD Ceuta's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 66%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Córdoba and 1.1 for AD Ceuta.
When is Córdoba vs AD Ceuta?
Saturday 7 November, 20:30 EAT (17:30 UTC). It is a Segunda División match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.