Livescore44

Copa del Rey

Deportiva Minera vs Cartagena Prediction: a narrow Cartagena win

Our model makes Deportiva Minera vs Cartagena a narrow Cartagena win and low confidence at 46%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Cartagena win
Confidencelow (46%)

How we pick

A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Deportiva MineraCartagena
  • 57Tips44 Power34
  • 56Tips44 Form28
  • 67Tips44 Attack27
  • 47Tips44 Defence47
  • 33Tips44 Goals33

Out of 100, from each team's last 3 to 6 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Deportiva Minera to score100% recent

    Deportiva Minera scored in 3 of their last 3 (5 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has FC Cartagena at 46 percent, with the draw at 28 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: FC Cartagena or draw at 73 percent and FC Cartagena (draw no bet) at 63 percent. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Deportiva Minera win27%
Draw28%
Cartagena win46%

Deportiva Minera vs Cartagena: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Deportiva Minera vs Cartagena?

Cartagena. Our model gives them a 46% chance of winning, against 27% for Deportiva Minera and 28% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47%, with expected goals of 0.0 for Deportiva Minera and 0.0 for Cartagena.

When is Deportiva Minera vs Cartagena?

Wednesday 4 November, 22:30 EAT (19:30 UTC). It is a Copa del Rey match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.