Livescore44

Categoría Primera A

Deportivo Cali vs Boyacá Chicó Prediction: a narrow Deportivo Cali win

Our model makes Deportivo Cali vs Boyacá Chicó a narrow Deportivo Cali win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and moderate confidence at 63%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Deportivo Cali win
Predicted score1-0
Confidencemoderate (63%)
Market we would callDeportivo Cali to win

Deportivo Cali favoured at 63% — model xG 1.6 vs 0.6.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Deportivo CaliBoyacá Chicó
  • 74Tips44 Power44
  • 73Tips44 Form43
  • 64Tips44 Attack40
  • 84Tips44 Defence48
  • 40Tips44 Goals50

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Deportivo Cali to score80% recent

    Deportivo Cali scored in 8 of their last 10 (16 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Deportivo Cali at 63 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Deportivo Cali and 0.6 from Boyacá Chicó FC, a combined 2.2, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Deportivo Cali or draw at 85 percent, Deportivo Cali (draw no bet) at 85 percent and Deportivo Cali to win at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 17.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Deportivo Cali win63%
Draw25%
Boyacá Chicó win11%

Expected goals

Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1.61
Boyacá Chicó FCBoyacá Chicó FC0.61

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Deportivo Cali vs Boyacá Chicó: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali vs Boyacá Chicó?

Deportivo Cali. Our model gives them a 63% chance of winning, against 11% for Boyacá Chicó and 25% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 39%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Deportivo Cali and 0.6 for Boyacá Chicó.

When is Deportivo Cali vs Boyacá Chicó?

Monday 2 November, 04:15 EAT (01:15 UTC). It is a Categoría Primera A match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.