Livescore44

Categoría Primera A

Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba Prediction: a narrow Deportivo Pereira win

Our model makes Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba a narrow Deportivo Pereira win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Deportivo Pereira win
Confidencelow (41%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Deportivo PereiraJaguares de Córdoba
  • 32Tips44 Power35
  • 27Tips44 Form30
  • 36Tips44 Attack60
  • 32Tips44 Defence16
  • 50Tips44 Goals80

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Jaguares de Córdoba to score90% recent

    Jaguares de Córdoba scored in 9 of their last 10 (15 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 68%

    8 of Deportivo Pereira's last 10 and 9 of Jaguares de Córdoba's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • Both teams to score70% recent · model 50%

    Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo Pereira's last 10 and 8 of Jaguares de Córdoba's last 10.

    More both teams to score picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Deportivo Pereira at 41 percent, with the draw at 30 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Deportivo Pereira and 1.0 from Jaguares de Córdoba, a combined 2.4, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. One market clears our bar on this fixture: Deportivo Pereira (draw no bet) at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Deportivo Pereira win41%
Draw30%
Jaguares de Córdoba win29%

Expected goals

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1.45
Jaguares de CórdobaJaguares de Córdoba0.97

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Deportivo Pereira. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 29% for Jaguares de Córdoba and 30% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 50%. Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo Pereira's last 10 and 8 of Jaguares de Córdoba's last 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 43%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.0 for Jaguares de Córdoba.

When is Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Saturday 31 October, 00:00 EAT (21:00 UTC). It is a Categoría Primera A match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.