Livescore44

USL Championship

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic Prediction: a narrow Detroit City win

Our model makes Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic a narrow Detroit City win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 47%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Detroit City win
Predicted score1-0
Confidencelow (47%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Detroit CityHartford Athletic
  • 55Tips44 Power56
  • 53Tips44 Form53
  • 28Tips44 Attack68
  • 84Tips44 Defence48
  • 10Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Hartford Athletic to score100% recent

    Hartford Athletic scored in 10 of their last 10 (17 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Detroit City FC at 47 percent, with the draw at 31 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.3 goals from Detroit City FC and 0.9 from Hartford Athletic, a combined 2.2, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Detroit City FC or draw at 78 percent and Detroit City FC (draw no bet) at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 14.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Detroit City win47%
Draw31%
Hartford Athletic win22%

Expected goals

Detroit City FCDetroit City FC1.32
Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic0.86

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic?

Detroit City. Our model gives them a 47% chance of winning, against 22% for Hartford Athletic and 31% for the draw.

What is the predicted score?

1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 45%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 38%, with expected goals of 1.3 for Detroit City and 0.9 for Hartford Athletic.

When is Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic?

Saturday 31 October, 03:00 EAT (00:00 UTC). It is a USL Championship match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreChampionship hub: table, fixtures and resultsToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.