Coupe de France
Dijon vs US Orléans Prediction: a narrow US Orléans win
Our model makes Dijon vs US Orléans a narrow US Orléans win, with a most likely score of 1-2 and low confidence at 50%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 70% — combined xG 3.7.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- Dijon or US OrléansDouble chance tips today79%1.27
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today70%1.43
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today66%1.52
- US Orléans (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-2Correct score tips today8.6%11.63
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power34
- 57Tips44 Form27
- 84Tips44 Attack36
- 28Tips44 Defence40
- 80Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Dijon to score100% recent
Dijon scored in 10 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 87%
9 of Dijon's last 10 and 8 of US Orléans's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Both teams to score70% recent · model 66%
Both teams scored in 9 of Dijon's last 10 and 5 of US Orléans's last 10.
More both teams to score picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has US Orléans at 50 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Dijon and 2.1 from US Orléans, a combined 3.7, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, Dijon or US Orléans at 79 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 70 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-2, though at 8.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Dijon1.65
US Orléans2.08Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Dijon vs US Orléans: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Dijon vs US Orléans?
US Orléans. Our model gives them a 50% chance of winning, against 29% for Dijon and 21% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-2 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 66%. Both teams scored in 9 of Dijon's last 10 and 5 of US Orléans's last 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 70%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Dijon and 2.1 for US Orléans.
When is Dijon vs US Orléans?
Friday 13 November, 22:00 EAT (19:00 UTC). It is a Coupe de France match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.