Nigeria Premier Football League
Doma United vs Barau Prediction: a narrow Doma United win
Our model makes Doma United vs Barau a narrow Doma United win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Doma United FC favoured at 58%, with model xG of 1.5 vs 0.7.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Doma United FC or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Doma United FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today80%1.25
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Doma United FC to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today16.7%5.99
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 45Tips44 Power53
- 43Tips44 Form50
- 52Tips44 Attack44
- 40Tips44 Defence64
- 50Tips44 Goals30
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Doma United to score90% recent
Doma United scored in 9 of their last 10 (13 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Doma United FC at 58 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.5 goals from Doma United FC and 0.7 from Barau FC, a combined 2.2, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Doma United FC or draw at 85 percent, Doma United FC (draw no bet) at 80 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 16.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Doma United FC1.52
Barau FC0.69Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Doma United vs Barau: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Doma United vs Barau?
Doma United. Our model gives them a 58% chance of winning, against 14% for Barau and 27% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 42%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 39%, with expected goals of 1.5 for Doma United and 0.7 for Barau.
When is Doma United vs Barau?
Saturday 14 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.