Scottish Premiership
Dundee vs Kilmarnock Prediction: a narrow Dundee win
Our model makes Dundee vs Kilmarnock a narrow Dundee win and low confidence at 48%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.7 / 1.3).
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today80%1.25
- Dundee FC or KilmarnockDouble chance tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Dundee FC (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today65%1.54
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.9%9.17
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 52Tips44 Power25
- 47Tips44 Form27
- 56Tips44 Attack40
- 52Tips44 Defence8
- 60Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Dundee to score90% recent
Dundee scored in 9 of their last 10 (14 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Dundee FC at 48 percent, with the draw at 25 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from Dundee FC and 1.3 from Kilmarnock, a combined 3.0, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Five markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 80 percent, Dundee FC or Kilmarnock at 75 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.9 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee. Our model gives them a 48% chance of winning, against 27% for Kilmarnock and 25% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Dundee and 1.3 for Kilmarnock.
When is Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Wednesday 28 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a Scottish Premiership match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.