Nigeria Premier Football League
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City Prediction: a narrow Enyimba win
Our model makes Enyimba vs Ikorodu City a narrow Enyimba win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and low confidence at 61%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Enyimba favoured at 61%, with model xG of 1.8 vs 0.8.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 319 wins and 128 losses from 447 settled picks, a 71.4% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Enyimba or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Enyimba (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today80%1.25
- Enyimba to winMatch result tips today61%1.64
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today13.0%7.69
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 44Tips44 Power46
- 37Tips44 Form37
- 44Tips44 Attack48
- 52Tips44 Defence52
- 30Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Enyimba at 61 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from Enyimba and 0.8 from Ikorodu City, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Enyimba or draw at 85 percent, Enyimba (draw no bet) at 80 percent and Enyimba to win at 61 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Enyimba1.77
Ikorodu City0.84Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Enyimba vs Ikorodu City?
Enyimba. Our model gives them a 61% chance of winning, against 15% for Ikorodu City and 24% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 48%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48%, with expected goals of 1.8 for Enyimba and 0.8 for Ikorodu City.
When is Enyimba vs Ikorodu City?
Sunday 15 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Nigeria Premier Football League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.