Livescore44

Trendyol Super Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Prediction: a narrow Erzurumspor FK win

Our model makes Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK a narrow Erzurumspor FK win and low confidence at 37%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Erzurumspor FK win
Confidencelow (37%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Erzurumspor FKÇorum FK
  • 50Tips44 Power58
  • 57Tips44 Form53
  • 44Tips44 Attack80
  • 48Tips44 Defence40
  • 50Tips44 Goals70

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Çorum FK to score80% recent

    Çorum FK scored in 8 of their last 10 (20 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 37 percent Erzurumspor FK, 28 percent the draw and 35 percent Çorum FK. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Erzurumspor FK and 1.0 from Çorum FK, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Two markets clear our bar on this fixture: Erzurumspor FK or Çorum FK at 73 percent and Erzurumspor FK (draw no bet) at 69 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Erzurumspor FK win37%
Draw28%
Çorum FK win35%

Expected goals

Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK1.57
Çorum FKÇorum FK1.03

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Erzurumspor FK. Our model gives them a 37% chance of winning, against 35% for Çorum FK and 28% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.0 for Çorum FK.

When is Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK?

Saturday 31 October, 13:30 EAT (10:30 UTC). It is a Trendyol Super Lig match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.