J1 League
Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Prediction: a narrow Tokyo win
Our model makes Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo a narrow Tokyo win and low confidence at 48%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 61% — combined xG 3.2.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today82%1.22
- Fagiano Okayama or FC TokyoDouble chance tips today76%1.32
- FC Tokyo (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today61%1.64
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today60%1.67
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.2%9.80
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 49Tips44 Power94
- 50Tips44 Form87
- 56Tips44 Attack100
- 40Tips44 Defence96
- 80Tips44 Goals50
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Fagiano Okayama to score90% recent
Fagiano Okayama scored in 9 of their last 10 (14 goals).
- Tokyo to score90% recent
Tokyo scored in 9 of their last 10 (26 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 82%
9 of Fagiano Okayama's last 10 and 8 of Tokyo's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has FC Tokyo at 48 percent, with the draw at 24 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.4 goals from Fagiano Okayama and 1.8 from FC Tokyo, a combined 3.2, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Fagiano Okayama or FC Tokyo at 76 percent and FC Tokyo (draw no bet) at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.2 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo?
Tokyo. Our model gives them a 48% chance of winning, against 28% for Fagiano Okayama and 24% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 60%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 61%, with expected goals of 1.4 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.8 for Tokyo.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo?
Saturday 31 October, 08:00 EAT (05:00 UTC). It is a J1 League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.