Parva Liga
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction: a CSKA 1948 Sofia win
Our model makes CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna a CSKA 1948 Sofia win, with a most likely score of 1-0 and moderate confidence at 67%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia favoured at 67% — model xG 1.9 vs 0.8.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- FC CSKA 1948 Sofia or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- FC CSKA 1948 Sofia (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- FC CSKA 1948 Sofia to winMatch result tips today67%1.49
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today62%1.61
- Correct score 1-0Correct score tips today13.0%7.69
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 68Tips44 Power31
- 63Tips44 Form30
- 80Tips44 Attack24
- 60Tips44 Defence40
- 60Tips44 Goals20
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- CSKA 1948 Sofia to score80% recent
CSKA 1948 Sofia scored in 8 of their last 10 (20 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has FC CSKA 1948 Sofia at 67 percent, with the draw at 21 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from FC CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.8 from FK Spartak Varna, a combined 2.7, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by FC CSKA 1948 Sofia or draw at 85 percent, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia (draw no bet) at 85 percent and FC CSKA 1948 Sofia to win at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-0, though at 13.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
CSKA 1948 Sofia. Our model gives them a 67% chance of winning, against 12% for Spartak Varna and 21% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
1-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 50%, with expected goals of 1.9 for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.8 for Spartak Varna.
When is CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Friday 30 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Parva Liga match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.