Eerste Divisie
Emmen vs Den Bosch Prediction: a narrow Emmen win
Our model makes Emmen vs Den Bosch a narrow Emmen win, with a most likely score of 2-1 and low confidence at 51%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 69% — combined xG 3.6.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- FC Emmen or FC Den BoschDouble chance tips today78%1.28
- FC Emmen (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today75%1.33
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today71%1.41
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today69%1.45
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today68%1.47
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.4%10.64
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 60Tips44 Power46
- 63Tips44 Form47
- 76Tips44 Attack60
- 40Tips44 Defence32
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Emmen to score90% recent
Emmen scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 86%
9 of Emmen's last 10 and 8 of Den Bosch's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Den Bosch to score80% recent
Den Bosch scored in 8 of their last 10 (15 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has FC Emmen at 51 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.2 goals from FC Emmen and 1.3 from FC Den Bosch, a combined 3.6, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, FC Emmen or FC Den Bosch at 78 percent and FC Emmen (draw no bet) at 75 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
FC Emmen2.24
FC Den Bosch1.34Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Emmen vs Den Bosch: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Emmen vs Den Bosch?
Emmen. Our model gives them a 51% chance of winning, against 27% for Den Bosch and 22% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-1 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 68%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 69%, with expected goals of 2.2 for Emmen and 1.3 for Den Bosch.
When is Emmen vs Den Bosch?
Sunday 1 November, 16:30 EAT (13:30 UTC). It is a Eerste Divisie match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.