Livescore44

National League

Halifax Town vs Barrow Prediction: a narrow Halifax Town win

Our model makes Halifax Town vs Barrow a narrow Halifax Town win and low confidence at 39%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Halifax Town win
Confidencelow (39%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 257 wins and 123 losses from 380 settled picks, a 67.6% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Halifax TownBarrow
  • 64Tips44 Power75
  • 60Tips44 Form77
  • 72Tips44 Attack76
  • 60Tips44 Defence72
  • 50Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Halifax Town to score90% recent

    Halifax Town scored in 9 of their last 10 (18 goals).

  • Barrow to score80% recent

    Barrow scored in 8 of their last 10 (19 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result it splits close to evenly, 39 percent FC Halifax Town, 27 percent the draw and 34 percent Barrow AFC. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.7 goals from FC Halifax Town and 1.2 from Barrow AFC, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: FC Halifax Town or Barrow AFC at 73 percent, FC Halifax Town (draw no bet) at 66 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 63 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 11.1 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Halifax Town win39%
Draw27%
Barrow win34%

Expected goals

FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1.72
Barrow AFCBarrow AFC1.21

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Halifax Town vs Barrow: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Halifax Town vs Barrow?

Halifax Town. Our model gives them a 39% chance of winning, against 34% for Barrow and 27% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 59%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 55%, with expected goals of 1.7 for Halifax Town and 1.2 for Barrow.

When is Halifax Town vs Barrow?

Tuesday 27 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.