Liga Portugal Betclic
Porto vs Estoril Praia Prediction: a Porto win
Our model makes Porto vs Estoril Praia a Porto win, with a most likely score of 2-0 and moderate confidence at 73%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
FC Porto favoured at 73% — model xG 2.1 vs 0.7.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- FC Porto or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- FC Porto (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today85%1.18
- FC Porto to winMatch result tips today73%1.37
- Correct score 2-0Correct score tips today13.3%7.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 69Tips44 Power23
- 70Tips44 Form10
- 80Tips44 Attack24
- 56Tips44 Defence36
- 70Tips44 Goals40
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Porto to score80% recent
Porto scored in 8 of their last 10 (20 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has FC Porto at 73 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from FC Porto and 0.7 from Estoril Praia, a combined 2.8, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: FC Porto or draw at 85 percent, FC Porto (draw no bet) at 85 percent and FC Porto to win at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-0, though at 13.3 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Porto vs Estoril Praia: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Porto vs Estoril Praia?
Porto. Our model gives them a 73% chance of winning, against 9% for Estoril Praia and 18% for the draw.
What is the predicted score?
2-0 is the single most likely scoreline in our model. Correct scores are long shots even when they are the most likely one.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 47%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 53%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Porto and 0.7 for Estoril Praia.
When is Porto vs Estoril Praia?
Saturday 31 October, 23:30 EAT (20:30 UTC). It is a Liga Portugal Betclic match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.