Challenger Pro League
FCV Dender vs Jong KRC Genk U23 Prediction: a narrow FCV Dender win
Our model makes FCV Dender vs Jong KRC Genk U23 a narrow FCV Dender win and moderate confidence at 63%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 67% — combined xG 3.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today85%1.18
- FCV Dender or drawDouble chance tips today83%1.20
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today67%1.49
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today64%1.56
- FCV Dender to winMatch result tips today63%1.59
- FCV Dender (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today63%1.59
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.5%9.52
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 56Tips44 Power38
- 63Tips44 Form30
- 44Tips44 Attack60
- 60Tips44 Defence24
- 40Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has FCV Dender at 63 percent, with the draw at 20 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.8 goals from FCV Dender and 1.4 from Jong KRC Genk U23, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 85 percent, FCV Dender or draw at 83 percent and Over 2.5 goals at 67 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.5 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
FCV Dender vs Jong KRC Genk U23: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in FCV Dender vs Jong KRC Genk U23?
FCV Dender. Our model gives them a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Jong KRC Genk U23 and 20% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 67%, with expected goals of 1.8 for FCV Dender and 1.4 for Jong KRC Genk U23.
When is FCV Dender vs Jong KRC Genk U23?
Sunday 1 November, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a Challenger Pro League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.