Trendyol Super Lig
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Prediction: a narrow Fenerbahçe win
Our model makes Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe a narrow Fenerbahçe win and moderate confidence at 70%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Fenerbahçe favoured at 70% — model xG 1.9 vs 1.1.
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 310 wins and 145 losses from 455 settled picks, a 68.1% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Fenerbahçe or drawDouble chance tips today85%1.18
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- Fenerbahçe (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today74%1.35
- Fenerbahçe to winMatch result tips today70%1.43
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today64%1.56
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today63%1.59
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.7%9.35
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 61Tips44 Power55
- 50Tips44 Form50
- 84Tips44 Attack84
- 48Tips44 Defence32
- 70Tips44 Goals80
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Göztepe to score90% recent
Göztepe scored in 9 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Fenerbahçe to score80% recent
Fenerbahçe scored in 8 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Over 2.5 goals75% recent · model 64%
7 of Fenerbahçe's last 10 and 8 of Göztepe's last 10 went over 2.5 goals (averages 3.4 and 3.8 a game).
More over 2.5 goals picks today
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Fenerbahçe at 70 percent, with the draw at 18 percent. That is a clear lean rather than a coin toss. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Fenerbahçe and 1.1 from Göztepe, a combined 2.9, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Fenerbahçe or draw at 85 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent and Fenerbahçe (draw no bet) at 74 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.7 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
Fenerbahçe. Our model gives them a 70% chance of winning, against 12% for Göztepe and 18% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 54%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Fenerbahçe and 1.1 for Göztepe.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?
Saturday 31 October, 19:00 EAT (16:00 UTC). It is a Trendyol Super Lig match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.