Champions League
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Prediction: a narrow Liverpool win
Our model makes Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool a narrow Liverpool win and low confidence at 58%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Model backs Over 2.5 at 64% — combined xG 3.4.
How we pick
A data model prices every market from form, expected goals, home and away records and head-to-head, and a pick is published only when its probability clears our bar. Every pick then settles in public against the final score, losses included. Tips are for readers aged 18 and over and are not advice to bet.
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 268 wins and 122 losses from 390 settled picks, a 68.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Over 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals tips today83%1.20
- Liverpool FC or drawDouble chance tips today80%1.25
- Fenerbahçe (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today73%1.37
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today67%1.49
- Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals tips today64%1.56
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Liverpool FC to winMatch result tips today58%1.72
- Correct score 2-1Correct score tips today9.6%10.42
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 61Tips44 Power70
- 50Tips44 Form77
- 84Tips44 Attack84
- 48Tips44 Defence48
- 70Tips44 Goals60
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Players to watch
- Alexander Isak (Liverpool)
- Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)
- Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)
- Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool)
What the last 10 matches say
- Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 83%
9 of Fenerbahçe's last 10 and 8 of Liverpool's last 10 had at least two goals.
More over 1.5 goals picks today - Fenerbahçe to score80% recent
Fenerbahçe scored in 8 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Liverpool to score80% recent
Liverpool scored in 8 of their last 10 (21 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result the model has Liverpool FC at 58 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.1 goals from Fenerbahçe and 1.3 from Liverpool FC, a combined 3.4, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Seven markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 83 percent, Liverpool FC or draw at 80 percent and Fenerbahçe (draw no bet) at 73 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 2-1, though at 9.6 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Fenerbahçe2.10
Liverpool FC1.30Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Liverpool. Our model gives them a 58% chance of winning, against 20% for Fenerbahçe and 22% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 64%, with expected goals of 2.1 for Fenerbahçe and 1.3 for Liverpool.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Wednesday 4 November, 20:45 EAT (17:45 UTC). It is a Champions League match.
Where can I watch Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Our guide "How to watch the Champions League in Kenya" lists the channels and streaming services that carry it, country by country. Open the guide.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.