Livescore44

League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction: a narrow Fleetwood Town win

Our model makes Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers a narrow Fleetwood Town win and low confidence at 49%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Fleetwood Town win
Confidencelow (49%)

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Fleetwood TownBristol Rovers
  • 43Tips44 Power35
  • 37Tips44 Form33
  • 48Tips44 Attack28
  • 44Tips44 Defence44
  • 40Tips44 Goals40

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Fleetwood Town to score90% recent

    Fleetwood Town scored in 9 of their last 10 (12 goals).

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Fleetwood Town at 49 percent, with the draw at 27 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 1.6 goals from Fleetwood Town and 1.1 from Bristol Rovers, a combined 2.6, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Three markets clear our bar on this fixture: Fleetwood Town or draw at 76 percent, Fleetwood Town (draw no bet) at 67 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 62 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 12.0 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Fleetwood Town win49%
Draw27%
Bristol Rovers win24%

Expected goals

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1.56
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1.05

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Fleetwood Town. Our model gives them a 49% chance of winning, against 24% for Bristol Rovers and 27% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48%, with expected goals of 1.6 for Fleetwood Town and 1.1 for Bristol Rovers.

When is Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Saturday 31 October, 18:00 EAT (15:00 UTC). It is a League Two match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.