Livescore44

National League

Forest Green Rovers vs Eastleigh Prediction: a narrow Forest Green Rovers win

Our model makes Forest Green Rovers vs Eastleigh a narrow Forest Green Rovers win and low confidence at 59%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.

The prediction

Most likely outcomenarrow Forest Green Rovers win
Confidencelow (59%)
Market we would callOver 2.5 goals

Model backs Over 2.5 at 62% — combined xG 3.1.

Public record

Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.

See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.

Every market we call on this match

Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.

Tips44 Scores

How they work
Forest Green RoversEastleigh
  • 54Tips44 Power39
  • 43Tips44 Form37
  • 76Tips44 Attack56
  • 44Tips44 Defence24
  • 60Tips44 Goals60

Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.

What the last 10 matches say

  • Forest Green Rovers to score90% recent

    Forest Green Rovers scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).

  • Eastleigh to score90% recent

    Eastleigh scored in 9 of their last 10 (14 goals).

  • Over 1.5 goals85% recent · model 82%

    8 of Forest Green Rovers's last 10 and 9 of Eastleigh's last 10 had at least two goals.

    More over 1.5 goals picks today
  • Both teams to score70% recent · model 59%

    Both teams scored in 6 of Forest Green Rovers's last 10 and 8 of Eastleigh's last 10.

    More both teams to score picks today

Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.

The reasoning

On the match result the model has Forest Green Rovers at 59 percent, with the draw at 22 percent. That is a lean, not a strong one, so the draw is a live outcome here. The model expects roughly 2.0 goals from Forest Green Rovers and 1.1 from Eastleigh, a combined 3.1, which points to an open game rather than a tight one. Six markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Over 1.5 goals at 82 percent, Forest Green Rovers or draw at 81 percent and Forest Green Rovers (draw no bet) at 76 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 9.8 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on both teams to score here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.

Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.

Full-time result probabilities

Forest Green Rovers win59%
Draw22%
Eastleigh win19%

Expected goals

Forest Green RoversForest Green Rovers2.02
EastleighEastleigh1.13

Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.

Forest Green Rovers vs Eastleigh: questions and answers

Who is the favourite in Forest Green Rovers vs Eastleigh?

Forest Green Rovers. Our model gives them a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Eastleigh and 22% for the draw.

Will both teams score?

Our model puts both teams to score at 59%. Both teams scored in 6 of Forest Green Rovers's last 10 and 8 of Eastleigh's last 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 62%, with expected goals of 2.0 for Forest Green Rovers and 1.1 for Eastleigh.

When is Forest Green Rovers vs Eastleigh?

Wednesday 28 October, 22:45 EAT (19:45 UTC). It is a National League match.

How accurate are these predictions?

Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.

Full match page: lineups, stats and live scoreToday's football predictions and tipsOur public record, wins and losses

Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.