National League
Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town Prediction: a narrow Harrogate Town win
Our model makes Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town a narrow Harrogate Town win and low confidence at 41%. Kickoff is . This is informational only. The match can go any way, and we publish our losses alongside our wins.
The prediction
Both teams to score priced 61% — both attacks priced to score (xG 1.9 / 1.2).
Public record
Across the markets we settle publicly (match result, both teams to score and the over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals lines), the last 14 days come to 295 wins and 141 losses from 436 settled picks, a 67.7% strike rate.
See every settled pick, wins and losses · How the model works. No tip is a sure win.
Every market we call on this match
- Forest Green Rovers or Harrogate TownDouble chance tips today74%1.35
- Forest Green Rovers (draw no bet)Draw no bet tips today70%1.43
- Over 8.5 cornersCorners tips today68%1.47
- Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score tips today61%1.64
- Correct score 1-1Correct score tips today10.4%9.62
Odds shown are implied by the model's own probability, not quoted from a bookmaker. Markets missing from this list are ones the numbers did not clear the bar on.
Tips44 Scores
How they work- 54Tips44 Power71
- 43Tips44 Form73
- 76Tips44 Attack84
- 44Tips44 Defence56
- 60Tips44 Goals70
Out of 100, from each team's last 10 matches in all competitions.
What the last 10 matches say
- Harrogate Town to score100% recent
Harrogate Town scored in 10 of their last 10 (21 goals).
- Forest Green Rovers to score90% recent
Forest Green Rovers scored in 9 of their last 10 (19 goals).
Each team's last 10 finished matches in all competitions. Recent form is one input, not a forecast on its own.
The reasoning
On the match result it splits close to evenly, 34 percent Forest Green Rovers, 26 percent the draw and 41 percent Harrogate Town. That is a fixture the model will not call a winner in, and the honest read is that the value sits in the other markets rather than on the result. The model expects roughly 1.9 goals from Forest Green Rovers and 1.2 from Harrogate Town, a combined 3.1, which is around the average for a competitive fixture. Four markets clear our bar on this fixture, led by Forest Green Rovers or Harrogate Town at 74 percent, Forest Green Rovers (draw no bet) at 70 percent and Over 8.5 corners at 68 percent. The most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, though at 10.4 percent that is a long shot by the nature of the correct score market. It does not publish a pick on match result and over 2.5 goals here, which means the numbers did not clear the bar rather than that we forgot to look. A market with no pick is the model saying it sees no edge.
Generated from the same form, expected goals and head-to-head data that produced the picks above. How the model works.
Full-time result probabilities
Expected goals
Expected goals estimate how many each side should score given the chances the model projects they will create and concede.
Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town: questions and answers
Who is the favourite in Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town?
Harrogate Town. Our model gives them a 41% chance of winning, against 34% for Forest Green Rovers and 26% for the draw.
Will both teams score?
Our model puts both teams to score at 61%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts over 2.5 goals at 58%, with expected goals of 1.9 for Forest Green Rovers and 1.2 for Harrogate Town.
When is Forest Green Rovers vs Harrogate Town?
Saturday 31 October, 15:30 EAT (12:30 UTC). It is a National League match.
How accurate are these predictions?
Every pick we publish is settled publicly, wins and losses, on our track record page. No prediction is certain. See the record.
Informational only. Livescore44 does not operate a gambling service and does not accept wagers. Outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is ever certain. 18+. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.